债券市场日评(2024/03/27)
国债期货集体收涨,30年期主力合约涨0.44%,10年期主力合约涨0.13%,5年期主力合约涨0.11%,2年期主力合约涨0.01%。
今日市场短融交投情绪一般,成交主要集中在AAA和AA+的短融产品。
部分成交如下:
23招商局SCP010(16D,AAA)在2.30%成交,低于中债估值2.24bp;
24华能SCP001(16D,AAA)在2.30%成交,高于中债估值2.74bp;
23赣粤SCP006(34D,AAA)在2.32%成交,低于中债估值1.36bp;
24中建三局SCP002(科创票据)(69D,AAA)在2.34%成交,低于中债估值0.08bp;
23内蒙交通SCP002(121D,AA+)在2.45%成交,低于中债估值1.36bp;
24湘高速CP001(338D,AAA)在2.40%成交,低于中债估值1.92bp;
总体而言,今日短融成交收益率较上个交易日有所回落。
本日中票交投情绪活跃,市场成交主要集中在1Y内和1Y-3Y的券种,部分活跃成交如下:
1Y以内:
22中电投MTN006 (AAA, 19D),成交在2.3%,高于中债估值0.56bp;
21大唐发电MTN001(可持续挂钩) (AAA, 41D),成交在2.32%,高于中债估值0.27bp;
21中电投MTN005 (AAA, 81D(休1)),成交在2.21%,低于中债估值2.29bp;
22鲁钢铁MTN002 (AAA, 95D+N(休1)),成交在2.54%,低于中债估值0.63bp;
21申迪MTN002 (AAA, 212D),成交在2.37%,高于中债估值0.04bp;
19陕煤化MTN006 (AAA, 243D),成交在2.4%,低于中债估值1.16bp;
22苏州高新MTN001 (AAA, 335D),成交在2.41%,低于中债估值0.86bp;
1-3Y:
20晋煤MTN009 (AAA, 1.27Y),成交在2.52%,低于中债估值0.26bp;
23黄冈城投MTN003 (AA+, 2.05Y+2Y),成交在2.71%,低于中债估值0.18bp;
23广州高新MTN004 (AA+, 2.4Y+2Y),成交在2.72%,高于中债估值1.53bp;
24首旅MTN006 (AAA, 2.96Y),成交在2.67%,低于中债估值0.54bp;
3Y+:
23汇金MTN006B (AAA, 4.59Y),成交在2.53%,低于中债估值1.37bp;
24红谷滩MTN001 (AA+, 4.98Y(休1)),成交在3.25%,低于中债估值7.53bp;
22锡交通MTN002 (AAA, 8.3Y),成交在2.95%,高于中债估值3.72bp;
总体而言,今日中期票据市场整体收益率下行。
今日公司债&企业债今日交投情绪较为活跃,市场成交主要集中在3Y内AAA类券种,部分成交如下:
21交租01(AAA,82D)成交数笔在2.37%,偏离估值1.61bp;
22甬城01(AAA,296D+2Y(休1))成交数笔在2.39%,偏离估值-1.88bp;
22钱投01(AAA,338D+2Y(休1))成交在2.4%,偏离估值-2.89bp;
22中财C1(AAA/AA+,362D)成交在2.38%,偏离估值-1.43bp;
20津投08(AAA,1.02Y+3Y)成交在2.57%,偏离估值-0.81bp;
22东吴06(AAA,1.57Y)成交数笔在2.44%,偏离估值0.2bp;
23临城G1(AAA,1.93Y(休2))成交在2.63%,偏离估值-1.12bp;
21粤垦01(AAA,1.98Y)成交在2.7%,偏离估值2.8bp;
23国证04(AAA,2.09Y)成交在2.49%,偏离估值0.5bp;
23海通11(AAA,2.22Y)成交在2.5%,偏离估值-0.03bp;
23招证G8(AAA,2.23Y)成交在2.5%,偏离估值-0.05bp;
23青港01(AAA,2.56Y+2Y)成交在2.58%,偏离估值-3.9bp;
24漳九01(AAA,2.8Y+2Y)成交在2.7%,偏离估值-4.4bp;
22招证Y1(AAA,2.99Y+N)成交在2.75%,偏离估值-1.82bp;
22国联G1(AAA,3.44Y)成交在2.685%,偏离估值-0.23bp;
22深铁07(AAA,3.5Y(休1))成交在2.66%,偏离估值2.85bp;
23广发Y4(AAA,4.19Y+N)成交在2.96%,偏离估值0.54bp;
20铁道05(AAA,6.39Y(休2))成交在2.5%,偏离估值-1.37bp;
22国管01(AAA,8.25Y)成交在2.75%,偏离估值0.06bp。
整体而言,今日公司债&企业债平均成交收益率较上一个交易日有所下降。
今日商金债市场情绪较为活跃,市场主要关注1Y-3Y的银行永续和二级债,基金和券商为市场主力交投方。部分热门成交展示如下:
1Y内:
19青岛银行债02 (AAA, 56D),成交在2.16%,低于估值2.02bp;
19工商银行永续债 (AAA, 125D+N),成交在2.4%,低于估值0.5bp;
19兴业银行二级01 (AAA, 153D+5Y),成交在2.36%,高于估值1.45bp;
19兴业银行二级02 (AAA, 176D+5Y),成交在2.37%,高于估值0.22bp;
19中国银行二级01 (AAA, 181D+5Y(休1)),成交在2.36%,低于估值0.59bp;
19广发银行永续债 (AAA, 184D+N),成交在2.41%,低于估值0.01bp;
19中国银行二级03 (AAA, 240D+5Y),成交在2.37%,低于估值0.02bp;
19进出11 (0, 267D+5Y),成交在2.38%,低于估值1bp;
22浦发银行01 (AAA, 304D(休2)),成交在2.26%,高于估值1.22bp。
1Y-3Y:
20农业银行永续债01 (AAA, 1.13Y+N),成交在2.47%,低于估值1.51bp;
20民生银行二级 (AAA, 1.26Y+5Y(休2)),成交在2.56%,低于估值0.43bp;
20招商银行永续债01 (AAA, 1.28Y+N),成交在2.51%,低于估值1.21bp;
20中信银行二级 (AAA, 1.38Y+5Y),成交在2.47%,低于估值1.94bp;
20农业银行永续债02 (AAA, 1.41Y+N(休1)),成交在2.5%,低于估值1.94bp;
20建设银行二级 (AAA, 1.47Y+5Y(休2)),成交在2.43%,低于估值1.01bp;
20建设银行二级 (AAA, 1.47Y+5Y(休2)),成交在2.42%,低于估值2.01bp;
20浦发银行二级03 (AAA, 1.48Y+5Y),成交在2.47%,低于估值2.48bp;
20中国银行二级01 (AAA, 1.49Y+5Y(休2)),成交在2.43%,低于估值1.19bp;
22上海银行 (AAA, 1.6Y(休2)),成交在2.38%,低于估值1.28bp;
20中国银行永续债02 (AAA, 1.64Y+N),成交在2.52%,低于估值2.39bp;
20中国银行永续债02 (AAA, 1.64Y+N),成交在2.51%,低于估值3.39bp;
20中国银行永续债02 (AAA, 1.64Y+N),成交在2.53%,低于估值1.39bp;
20浦发银行永续债 (AAA, 1.66Y+N(休1)),成交在2.55%,低于估值0.79bp;
20成都银行永续债 (AAA, 1.67Y+N),成交在2.62%,低于估值1.79bp;
20长沙银行二级 (AAA/AA+, 1.69Y+5Y),成交在2.55%,低于估值0.83bp;
22南京银行03 (AAA, 1.71Y),成交在2.38%,低于估值2.75bp;
21中信银行永续债 (AAA, 2.08Y+N(休1)),成交在2.59%,低于估值1.41bp;
21东莞银行二级02 (AAA/AA+, 2.09Y+5Y),成交在2.6%,低于估值0.9bp;
23华夏银行债02 (AAA, 2.18Y(休2)),成交在2.42%,低于估值0.2bp;
21工商银行永续债01 (AAA, 2.2Y+N),成交在2.58%,低于估值1.84bp;
23交行债01 (AAA, 2.32Y),成交在2.39%,低于估值2.12bp;
23浙商银行债01 (AAA, 2.33Y(休1)),成交在2.44%,低于估值1.88bp;
21齐鲁银行二级01 (AAA/AA+, 2.47Y+5Y(休1)),成交在2.7%,低于估值1.62bp;
23交行债02 (AAA, 2.5Y(休1/2)),成交在2.4%,低于估值1.54bp;
22交通银行二级01 (AAA, 2.92Y+5Y),成交在2.56%,低于估值3.16bp;
24北京银行01 (AAA, 2.98Y(休1)),成交在2.47%,低于估值2.53bp。
3Y-5Y:
22中国银行永续债02 (AAA, 3.09Y+N),成交在2.65%,低于估值2.37bp;
22工行二级资本债03A (AAA, 3.41Y+5Y(休1)),成交在2.61%,低于估值1.82bp;
22农行永续债02 (AAA, 3.44Y+N(休1)),成交在2.68%,低于估值1.63bp;
22江苏银行三农债01B (AAA, 3.51Y),成交在2.51%,低于估值0.11bp;
22工行二级资本债04A (AAA, 3.62Y+5Y),成交在2.61%,低于估值2.82bp;
23浙商银行二级资本债01 (AAA, 4.17Y+5Y(休1)),成交在2.81%,高于估值0.41bp;
23苏州银行二级01 (AAA/AA+, 4.72Y+5Y),成交在2.88%,低于估值0.68bp;
24恒丰银行二级资本债01 (AAA, 4.86Y+5Y(休1)),成交在3%,高于估值0.67bp;
24农行永续债01 (AAA, 4.97Y+N),成交在2.74%,低于估值1.47bp;
24邮储永续债01 (AAA, 4.98Y+N(休1)),成交在2.74%,低于估值1.5bp;
24浙商银行小微债02 (AAA, 4.98Y),成交在2.56%,高于估值0.03bp。
总体来看,今日商金债整体成交收益率较前日下行。